Date: 5/2/25 6:02 pm From: Lucy & Bob Email via groups.io <RobertADuncan...> Subject: [ALbirds] A primer for beginning birders - tomorrow's storms, a Last Hurrah for migrants?
Hi all,
It's been a long dry spell since the last rain but that will probably change tomorrow if the forecast holds, With 90% chance of rain, possibly lasting most of the day. Migrants have been REALLY scarce most of the month, at least in any numbers. But the storms forecast for tomorrow are projected to begin in the early morning hours along the AL coast, moving east as the morning progresses. Once again, timing is everything. The storms are not projected to extend far into the Gulf and may move through before birds arrive along the coast, but the forecast is not precise and storms may be around at the critical time when they should arrive, late morning, early afternoon. This would be true for Yucatan departures, but birds leaving from farther south may come in later. At any rate, whether there is a fallout will depend on where and when they hit the bad weather. If indeed they do.
Winds are forecast to remain S shifting to SW during the day and not N until Sat night, too late to be a factor in producing a fallout. So birds will not be as stressed since there will be a tail wind during the day and may not linger long if they do put down. This time TX loses and we win! This late in the season there won't be as many species coming through as in April, but there are a lot of birds still migrating in early May. If I recall correctly, the latest classic fallout Lucy and I witnessed was about 12 May. Birds that nest in the far north, the Boreal forests, can arrive later in the season, a good time to see Bay-breasted, Tennessee and Magnolia Warblers and Gray-cheeked Thrushes and others.
So, heads up and get ready to be either ecstatic or disappointed, change is literally in the wind!
Bob DuncanGulf Breeze, FL
